Focused Thinking

Geopolitics

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Central Banks

2021 Equities Outlook: ...it is more about 2022

In 2021, investors will likely focus on an eventual 2022 renormalization driven by potentially even better vaccines/therapeutics to help contain the spread of the virus.

17 min video | December 2020

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Central Banks

Asia Outlook 2021 – Bracing for Reflation

We are overall quite positive on the outlook for Asia in 2021, with an above consensus GDP growth rebound.

6 min read | December 2020

Central Banks

Thailand: The Economic Fallout of Political Protests – This Time is No Different

Student-led protests have resumed in Thailand, demanding constitutional changes and reforms to the monarchy.

3 min read | December 2020

Economics

Asia under Bidenomics

Following the recent US elections, we explore the likely impact of Biden’s policies on Asia’s economies.

10 min read | November 2020

Economics

Economic Policy under a Biden Administration

If Biden wins in November, he is likely to usher in a new set of US economic objectives and policies.

4 min read | September 2020

Geopolitics

Covid-19 a blessing in disguise for climate change?

We look at 6 ways that COVID-19 has helped address key issues in climate change.

4 min read | August 2020

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Economics

Fireside Chats - The World After Covid-19: Where do we go next?

Have Governments and Investors reached their limits?

21 min podcast | August 2020

Economics

Diversification from China: The push and pull factors

What are the Global implications of diversifying from China?

3 min read | August 2020

Geopolitics

Government debt - a new paradigm?

For economies to stay afloat, historic amounts of fiscal and economic stimulus have been provided, but how will this sovereign debt be repaid?

2 min read | August 2020

Central Banks

The world post Covid-19

The world remains in the grip of Covid-19, but the pandemic can also serve as a catalyst for change that can shape the world for decades to come.

3 min read | July 2020

Economics

Damocles Update 3: Our Early Warning Indicator of Exchange Rate Crises

Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.

1 min read | April 2020

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Economics

Fireside Chats - Big stimulus in the pipeline, but China won’t rescue the Global economy again

In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.

24 min podcast | April 2020

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